A new Datafolha survey indicates that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are tied at 45% each in a hypothetical second-round presidential election.
Key points
- The survey was conducted between May 13 and May 14, 2026, involving 2,004 adults across 139 municipalities.
- Data collection occurred around the time allegations emerged regarding a financial scandal involving Flávio Bolsonaro and banker Daniel Vorcaro.
- In first-round simulations, Lula leads with 38% against 35% for Flávio Bolsonaro.
- The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points and a 95% confidence level.
Why it matters
The poll results highlight the competitive nature of the upcoming 2026 presidential race in Brazil, potentially influenced by emerging political scandals.
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